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Faulty Flood Statistics and Public Safety
Tuesday, September 29, 2015 @ 6:30 PM-8:00 PM
OASIS at the Center of Clayton, 50 Gay Avenue, St. Louis, MO 63105
Registration required. FREE to the first 10 registrants, $10 per person thereafter. OPEN to ALL. Space is limited. Middle and high school students welcome. Register below.
Featured Speaker: Robert Criss, Ph.D., Professor of Geology, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Washington University in St. Louis
The succession of recent Mid-western floods includes many new records, demonstrating official estimates for flood risk are incorrect. This serious error arises from the neglect of attention to progressive changes to climate, land use, and river channels in the underlying statistical analysis. A familiar result is the current overuse of terms such as “another 100-year flood,” but far more serious consequences are underpriced flood insurance, floodplain developments, levee failures, flooded nuclear power plants, and counterproductive, uneconomical river projects. The superiority of revised risk calculations that accommodate temporal change is testable, but the implementation of better methodology by relevant agencies can be impeded by institutional hubris that includes chronic dismissal of failure. Don’t miss this important talk on assessing flood risk in the Midwest.
Click here to read more about river flood assumptions.
On Science: Saints and Sinners mini-Series is an Academy of Science and OASIS St. Louis Series featuring Informative sessions on the timely topics and pressing issues in science and contemporary society with some of the region’s top scientists and engineers, innovators and inventors.